The domestic value of a foreign stock is the product of its price in foreign currency and the exchange rate. In a constructed model both follow geometric Brownian motions, with drifts and per year, volatilities and per square-root year and correlation between their Brownian drivers. The ordinary product rule suggests that the expected domestic value grows at per year, but the correct rate is . This lesson states Itô’s lemma, explains the second-order term that the ordinary chain rule misses, and derives from it the multivariate formula, the product rule and the generator of a diffusion, which together account for the extra .
Key terms
Itô’s lemma
Definition Let be a standard Brownian motion with respect to a filtration under , and let be an Itô process on ,
with an -measurable random variable, and predictable, and and almost surely, so that both integrals are defined. In differential form , and the quadratic variation of is . Let have a continuous first derivative in and continuous first and second derivatives in on , which is written . Itô’s lemma, also called the stochastic chain rule, says that
with every derivative evaluated at . Equivalently . The differential notation is shorthand for the identity obtained by integrating both sides from to , which holds almost surely for all at once. The stochastic integral in it is defined because is continuous in and so bounded on each path. It is in general a local martingale, and a martingale when . If is only on for an open interval that contains every path of , the formula still holds, and if can leave it holds for the times before first leaves . The theorem is stated here with the idea of its proof, which the next card describes.
In plain words To find how a smooth function of a noisy state changes, take the ordinary first-order terms in time and in the state, and add half the second state derivative times the variance rate of the state. That added term is the only difference from the ordinary chain rule, and it disappears when the state has no Brownian part.
Example For and , so that and , the derivatives are and , and
Integrating gives , the identity that left-endpoint sums produce in the Itô integral lesson. For take , with , and . The drift is , so , and the second-order term exactly cancels the explicit time trend.
Second-order correction
Definition The second-order correction in Itô’s lemma is the term , which equals and has no counterpart in the ordinary chain rule. It comes from the Taylor expansion over a partition ,
with the derivatives at . As the mesh tends to zero, the first-order sums converge to and to the left-endpoint integral . In the square , the parts of the form and add up to zero in the limit, while adds up to because the quadratic variation of is . These limits are often recorded as the multiplication rules , and , which are bookkeeping for quadratic covariations and not identities between numbers. Controlling the Taylor remainder and the coefficients requires localization estimates that are stated, not carried out, here. Under the hypotheses of the lemma the correction is exact, not a truncation. Its sign follows the curvature of in . It is positive where is convex, negative where is concave, and zero when is linear in or , in which case Itô’s lemma reduces to the ordinary chain rule.
In plain words A Brownian increment over a step of length has size about , so its square has size about , the same order as the time step. The squared shocks therefore add up to a nonzero amount, and the curvature of turns that amount into a drift.
Example Let a positive price satisfy with constants and , and apply the lemma to on the open interval , with derivatives and . Then
With the constructed values and , the log drift is per year. Since is normal with mean , the median of is , while . Over one trading day, , the drift and the correction are of the same order, while the shock is much larger. No change of probability measure and no risk premium is involved, since the comes only from the curvature of the logarithm.
Multivariate Itô formula
Definition Let be a standard -dimensional Brownian motion with independent coordinates, and let be an -dimensional Itô process , with predictable and whose entries satisfy the integrability conditions of the one-dimensional case. The matrix is symmetric and positive semidefinite, and . For , with gradient and Hessian in the state variables,
with the derivatives at . Written out, the correction is . With two coordinates each mixed term appears twice, for and for , and since and the two halves combine into . Independent Brownian coordinates do not make the coordinates of independent, because shared loadings in correlate them.
In plain words Every pair of state coordinates contributes its covariance rate times the curvature of in that pair of directions. Knowing each coordinate’s own equation is not enough, because the cross terms need the covariance between coordinates.
Example Take two stock prices in one currency with the constructed parameters of the opening, and , where is a Brownian motion with correlation with . The covariance rates are , and . The exchange ratio has , and for , so its correction is
Adding the first-order drift gives the drift , of which the mixed term contributes . The diffusion part is , with variance rate . So is again a geometric Brownian motion, and from its mean after one year is , not the ratio of means .
Itô product rule
Definition Let and be Itô processes driven by the same -dimensional Brownian motion, and , with row vectors and the integrability conditions above. Then
where is the quadratic covariation. This is the multivariate formula for , whose Hessian has zeros on the diagonal and ones off it, so the correction is . When one factor has no Brownian part the covariation vanishes and the ordinary product rule holds. For a constant rate , for example, , the rule behind discounted prices.
In plain words The change in a product is each factor times the change in the other, plus the joint movement of the two. With two noisy factors the joint movement adds to the drift, and positive correlation raises the growth of the product.
Example In the constructed model of the opening, the stock price starts at foreign currency units and the exchange rate at domestic units per foreign unit, with the drifts, volatilities and correlation of the previous card. The covariation rate is , so the domestic value satisfies
with drift . Constant coefficients give lognormal moments of every order, so the stochastic integral is a martingale and solves . From domestic currency units,
while the product of the means is . With correlation and the same marginal equations, the expected domestic value is . The two marginal laws do not determine the mean of the product.
Generator of a diffusion
Definition Let solve in with continuous coefficients and , let , and write for the expectation when . The generator of the diffusion acts on by
Itô’s lemma reads , so is a local martingale. If also has compact support, the stochastic integral has a bounded integrand and is a martingale, and
so the generator is the instantaneous expected rate of change of along the diffusion. When the equation has a solution from each starting point that is unique in law, is a Markov process, a result stated here. For a function of time and state, the drift of is . If , then is a local martingale, and when it is a true martingale on it satisfies . This equation is the starting point of the pricing equations of later lessons, which need the same martingale and integrability conditions.
In plain words The generator says how fast the expected value of starts to change from a known state. Its first-order part uses the drift and its second-order part uses the covariance rates, exactly as in Itô’s lemma.
Example For geometric Brownian motion the generator is . For it gives , which is for the constructed and . The function does not have compact support, but the lognormal moments make the stochastic integral a martingale, so . From currency units this is at , and together with it gives a standard deviation of about currency units for .
Check yourself
- Use Itô’s lemma on to find .
Show the answer
With , the derivatives are and , so
The integrand is square integrable on , because is integrable in , so the stochastic integral has mean zero. Taking expectations,
At this is , the fourth moment of a standard normal variable.
- A price follows with . A classmate applies the ordinary chain rule, says that has drift , and concludes that the median of is . Find the correct log drift, the median and the mean of , and .
Show the answer
The second-order correction is , so the log drift is . Then is normal with mean and variance . The median of is , and the mean is , so the classmate’s value is the mean, not the median. Finally
- In a constructed arithmetic model , so is an at-the-money call payoff. Someone applies Itô’s lemma to , using and for , and concludes that . Show that this is false and name the hypothesis that fails.
Show the answer
The integrand on the right is bounded and predictable, so the right side has mean zero. The left side has mean
so the identity cannot hold. The lemma needs , and here jumps at the strike and is not a function there, so zero curvature away from the kink does not describe the whole function. The missing term is half the local time of at zero, from the Itô-Tanaka formula, which is beyond this lesson, and its expectation here must be . A smooth pricing function before maturity avoids the problem, with the payoff reached as a limit at maturity.