A portfolio worth currency units receives a dividend, borrows to buy one more share and is worth two periods later. How much of that change is investment gain, and what return does it represent? The answer depends on the denominator, on how the dividend is counted and on whether any money came from outside the portfolio. This lesson defines simple, gross, price, total and log returns together with the conditions they need, and derives the dividend-inclusive accounting identity that a self-financing portfolio satisfies at every rebalance.
Key terms
Simple return and gross return
Definition Consider a position over one period, from date to date , with value at the start and value at the end. The end value includes every cash distribution paid to the position during the period, carried to date by a stated reinvestment convention, and no money is added or withdrawn from outside. The simple return and the gross return over the period are
Both are pure numbers per period, not annualized rates. The denominator is the capital committed at the start, so a simple return is defined only when that capital is strictly positive. A position without borrowing or short sales, in assets with nonnegative prices and payouts, has and so , while a position with borrowing or short sales can lose more than its capital and have . Over consecutive periods in which each period starts with the end value of the one before, all values are positive and nothing flows in or out, the gross returns multiply,
because the intermediate values cancel in the product of the ratios .
In plain words A return is a gain measured per unit of the capital that produced it. The gross return is the factor by which that capital grows, and growth over several periods is the product of the factors, not the sum of the returns.
Example A gain of currency units is a return of on a capital of and of on a capital of . Now let a position worth gain and then lose . It is worth after one period and after two, so the two-period gross return is and the two-period simple return is , although the returns of the two periods add to zero. A position that buys one share at entirely with borrowed money has zero starting capital and therefore no simple return, even though its gain in currency units is well defined.
Price return and total return
Definition Let be the ex-dividend price of one share at date and the cash dividend per share paid at date to holders of the share over the period. The price return and the total return of the share over the period are
The total return is the simple return of the position that holds the share and keeps its dividend. If the dividend is paid at an earlier date inside the period, then is replaced by the value at date of the dividend reinvested by a stated convention, for example in the cash account or in further shares. If a split or another corporate action changes the number of shares or the quoted price, prices and dividends are first put on the same share basis, so that a mechanical drop in the quote is not read as a loss.
In plain words The price return reads only the quote, while the total return counts everything the holder receives. An ex-dividend price no longer contains the dividend that has just been paid, so whenever a dividend is paid, leaving it out understates what the holder earned.
Example A share bought at ends the period at and pays a dividend of at the end. The price return is and the total return is . If the same dividend had been paid halfway through and deposited in a cash account that grows by the factor over the second half, it would be worth at the end and the total return would be . These numbers are constructed. They show that the payment date changes the total return even when the dividend amount does not.
Log return
Definition For a period with and , so that the gross return is strictly positive, the log return is
with the natural logarithm. Over consecutive periods with positive values at every date and no outside flows, taking logarithms in the product of gross returns gives
This is an exact algebraic identity. It needs no independence and no distributional assumption. For the series converges, and for every other than . The log return is not defined when the end value is zero, since as decreases to , and there is no real log return when the end value is negative. Across assets, the simple return of a portfolio over one period is , where is the fraction of the starting capital placed in asset and the weights add to . The portfolio log return is , which in general differs from . For nonnegative weights and positive gross returns , the concavity of the logarithm gives
with equality exactly when all the with positive weight are equal.
In plain words Log returns turn the multiplication of growth factors into addition, so a whole history can be summarized by adding period numbers. The cost of this convenience is the domain, because wealth must stay strictly positive, and the fact that log returns do not average across assets the way simple returns do.
Example For the gain of followed by the loss of , the two-period log return is , and indeed
The logs add because the logarithm of a product is a sum, not because the two percentages cancel. Now split a capital equally between two assets that return and over the same period. The portfolio simple return is , so the portfolio log return is , while the average of the two log returns is about . Averaging component log returns understates the portfolio’s growth here, as the concavity inequality predicts.
Self-financing portfolio
Definition Fix trading dates . A stock has ex-dividend price and pays the dividend per share at date to the shares held over the period from to , and a cash account, the money-market account, has unit value . At each date a strategy chooses, using only information available at date , the number of shares and the number of cash-account units it holds over the period from to . Negative numbers are allowed, a negative being borrowing in the cash account and a negative a short sale. The value just after trading at date is
and the value just before trading at a date , after the dividend on the old holding is paid, is
The strategy is self-financing if at every trading date , which is the same as
The dividend term uses the old holding , the shares actually held over the period that earned it. Writing for the value of the holdings carried into the last date, every self-financing strategy satisfies the wealth recursion
since for every and at every date. This is a discrete sum of holdings times increments, and its continuous-time counterpart, a stochastic integral, comes later in the course. The accounting is frictionless, with trades at the quoted prices, no transaction costs and one cash account for both lending and borrowing. A deposit or withdrawal from outside changes the identity to , so a strategy with a nonzero at some date is not self-financing.
In plain words A self-financing portfolio pays for every purchase with a sale, with cash it already holds, with borrowing in its own cash account or with a dividend it has just received. Nothing comes in or goes out from outside, so every change in its wealth comes from price moves, dividends and the growth of the cash account. Borrowing is allowed and outside money is not.
Example A strategy is short shares and holds cash-account units when a dividend of per share is paid at a date with and . A short seller owes the dividend, so the right side of the identity is . If the strategy leaves its stock holding unchanged, its cash holding must fall by units to . Its value is before the trade and after it.
Portfolio rebalance
Definition A portfolio rebalance at a trading date replaces the holdings carried into the date by new holdings , valued at the date- prices after the dividend is paid. A self-financing rebalance keeps the value fixed, , so once a new stock holding is chosen the cash holding is determined,
Under the frictionless hypotheses the rebalance itself creates no gain or loss. It changes exposure, which is how much the next period’s moves in the stock and the cash account will change the wealth. The number of cash-account units is distinct from the currency value of the cash position.
In plain words Rebalancing moves wealth between the stock and the cash account at today’s prices. It decides what the next period will do to the portfolio but does not change what the portfolio is worth today. Extra exposure must be paid for by a sale, a dividend or borrowing, and money brought in from outside is a deposit, not a gain.
Example In a constructed example, a portfolio holds shares at and cash-account unit at , so . At date the share is quoted at and pays , and the cash account is worth . Before trading,
Rebalancing to shares costs , so the cash position is worth and units. The third share costs and is paid for by the dividends of , the cash of and a loan of , and the value stays . Over the second period the share rises to with no dividend and the cash account grows by the factor to , so
The second-period gain of is a price gain of on each of three shares less of interest on the loan. Because the strategy is self-financing, its period returns and compound to the two-period return . Had the portfolio bought the third share and kept its cash unit worth , it would have held while only was available, so would have come from outside. Reporting as a return would count that deposit as investment gain.
Check yourself
- A share is bought at , ends the period at and pays a dividend of at the end of the period. Find the price return and the total return.
Show the answer
The price return is . The total return adds the dividend to the gain,
The holder lost of the capital, not , because the ex-dividend price no longer contains the that was paid out.
- A position worth has simple returns , and in three consecutive periods with no outside flows. Find its three-period simple return and log return, and check that the log returns add. A second position starts with capital , borrows at zero interest and buys of a stock whose price then falls by . What are its simple return and its log return?
Show the answer
The gross returns multiply, , so the three-period simple return is , far from the sum of the period returns. The log return is , and the period log returns add to the same number,
The second position ends with stock worth and a loan of , so its value is . Its simple return is , which is defined because the starting capital is positive. Its gross return is negative, so it has no real log return. The domain condition of the log return fails, and no identity with logarithms can be applied to this period.
- A strategy arrives at a trading date with shares and cash-account units. At that date , and , and the strategy buys shares in a self-financing trade. Find the new cash holding and check the value before and after the trade. What goes wrong if the dividend is computed on the new holding of shares?
Show the answer
The self-financing identity gives , so and . Before the trade the value is , and after it the value is . The purchase of is paid for by the dividend of and by giving up cash-account units worth .
Using shares on the dividend side gives , so and a value of after the trade. That exceeds the available by , the dividend on the four shares that were bought only at this date and did not earn it. The holding that earns a dividend is the one carried over the period that ends at the payment date.