Unit 3, lesson 35

Exponential Growth and Decay

How to read the initial value, the factor and the time unit in an exponential model, rewrite it for a different time interval, and solve for an unknown exponent with a common base.

  • Theory part 69
  • Practice part 70
  • Nonlinear Equations and Functions

Theory, part 69

Practice, part 70

A savings account that earns interest, a culture of bacteria and the value of a used car all change by the same percent over each equal stretch of time, not by the same amount. That repeated multiplying is what an exponential model describes. Most SAT questions on this topic come down to reading three things correctly in a formula, where it starts, what it multiplies by, and over what length of time.

See also Exponential Functions with Different Bases in Foundations for Calculus and Exponential Growth and Decay Models in Precalculus.

Key terms

Exponential model

Definition An exponential model is a function of the form

f(t)=a⋅bt,f(t) = a \cdot b^t,

where a≠0a \ne 0 and the base bb is a positive real number other than 11. The base must be positive so that btb^t is a real number for every real tt, including fractional exponents such as t=12t = \frac{1}{2}. In applications a>0a > 0 and tt counts units of time from a starting moment. A model describes a real situation only under its stated assumptions, such as a constant percent change and the range of times it was built for.

In plain words Over each unit of time the quantity is multiplied by the same number bb. A linear model adds the same amount each step, an exponential model multiplies by the same factor.

Example A town has f(t)=5000⋅(1.02)tf(t) = 5000 \cdot (1.02)^t residents tt years after 2020. Each year the population is 1.021.02 times the year before, so in 2022 it is 5000⋅1.022=52025000 \cdot 1.02^2 = 5202. Using the same formula for 300 years would mean assuming the growth rate never changes, which no one should take for granted.

Initial value

Definition The initial value of the model f(t)=a⋅btf(t) = a \cdot b^t is f(0)=a⋅b0=af(0) = a \cdot b^0 = a. It is the value of the quantity at t=0t = 0.

In plain words The number in front is where the quantity starts, measured at the moment the clock reads zero.

Example A car bought for 24,00024{,}000 dollars loses value according to V(t)=24,000⋅(0.88)tV(t) = 24{,}000 \cdot (0.88)^t after tt years. The initial value 24,00024{,}000 is the purchase price. After two years the value is 24,000⋅0.882=18,585.6024{,}000 \cdot 0.88^2 = 18{,}585.60 dollars.

Growth factor and decay factor

Definition In f(t)=a⋅btf(t) = a \cdot b^t with a>0a > 0, the base bb is the factor per unit of time, because

f(t+1)f(t)=bfor every t.\frac{f(t + 1)}{f(t)} = b \quad \text{for every } t.

If b>1b > 1 the quantity grows and bb is called the growth factor. If 0<b<10 < b < 1 the quantity decays and bb is called the decay factor. Data with equally spaced inputs and positive outputs fit an exponential model exactly when the ratio of consecutive outputs is the same constant every time, and that constant is not 11.

In plain words Divide a value by the one before it. If you always get the same number, that number is the factor.

Example A table of a quantity at whole hours is shown below.

tt00112233
f(t)f(t)400400500500625625781.25781.25

The ratios are 500400=625500=781.25625=1.25\frac{500}{400} = \frac{625}{500} = \frac{781.25}{625} = 1.25, while the differences 100100, 125125 and 156.25156.25 are not equal. So the data are exponential with growth factor 1.251.25, and f(t)=400⋅(1.25)tf(t) = 400 \cdot (1.25)^t.

Percent rate

Definition If a quantity increases by rr percent over each time interval, its factor for that interval is

b=1+r100.b = 1 + \frac{r}{100}.

If it decreases by rr percent over each interval, with 0<r<1000 < r < 100, its factor is

b=1−r100.b = 1 - \frac{r}{100}.

A percent rate always belongs to a specific time interval, such as per year or per month.

In plain words Growing by 6%6\% means keeping all of it and adding 6%6\%, so multiply by 1.061.06. Shrinking by 15%15\% means keeping 85%85\%, so multiply by 0.850.85.

Example A lake holds 12001200 fish, and the number falls by 15%15\% each year. The model is F(t)=1200⋅(0.85)tF(t) = 1200 \cdot (0.85)^t, and after two years F(2)=1200⋅0.7225=867F(2) = 1200 \cdot 0.7225 = 867 fish. The decay factor is 0.850.85 and the rate is 15%15\% per year. A common trap is to read 0.850.85 as an 85%85\% decrease.

Time interval

Definition If a quantity is multiplied by bb once every kk units of time, with k>0k > 0, then after tt units it is

f(t)=a⋅bt/k.f(t) = a \cdot b^{t/k}.

The exponent tk\frac{t}{k} counts how many full or partial intervals of length kk have passed.

In plain words Doubling every 3 hours does not mean doubling every hour. Divide the elapsed time by the length of one interval to get the number of doublings.

Example A culture of 500500 cells doubles every 33 hours, so N(t)=500⋅2t/3N(t) = 500 \cdot 2^{t/3} with tt in hours. After 1212 hours there have been 123=4\frac{12}{3} = 4 doublings, and

N(12)=500⋅24=8000 cells.N(12) = 500 \cdot 2^4 = 8000 \text{ cells.}

Equivalent exponential form

Definition For b>0b > 0 and real numbers mm and nn, the power rule bmn=(bm)nb^{mn} = (b^m)^n lets one model be written in several equivalent forms. In particular, for k>0k > 0

bt/k=(b1/k)t,b^{t/k} = \left(b^{1/k}\right)^t,

so a factor bb per kk units is the same as a factor b1/kb^{1/k} per unit. Each form shows the factor for a different time interval.

In plain words The same growth can be described per hour, per day or per year. Powers and roots convert one description to another.

Example A balance grows by 1%1\% per month. After tt years it has been multiplied by

1.0112t=(1.0112)t≈1.1268t.1.01^{12t} = \left(1.01^{12}\right)^t \approx 1.1268^t.

So the yearly growth is about 12.68%12.68\%, not 12%12\%, because each month’s growth is applied to a larger amount.

Time-unit conversion

Definition To rewrite a model f(t)=a⋅btf(t) = a \cdot b^t, with tt in one time unit, in terms of a new variable ss in another unit, write tt in terms of ss and substitute. If one old unit equals nn new units, then t=snt = \frac{s}{n} and

a⋅bs/n=a⋅(b1/n)s.a \cdot b^{s/n} = a \cdot \left(b^{1/n}\right)^s.

In plain words Replace the old time variable by its expression in the new unit, then simplify the base with a power or a root.

Example An investment is worth P(t)=800⋅(1.21)tP(t) = 800 \cdot (1.21)^t dollars after tt years. With hh the number of half years, t=h2t = \frac{h}{2}, so

P=800⋅(1.21)h/2=800⋅(1.1)h.P = 800 \cdot (1.21)^{h/2} = 800 \cdot (1.1)^h.

The value grows by 10%10\% per half year. Both forms agree. After 33 years, or 66 half years, each gives about 1417.251417.25 dollars.

Exponential equations with a common base

Definition An exponential equation has the unknown in an exponent. If b>0b > 0 and b≠1b \ne 1, then for all real mm and nn

bm=bnexactly whenm=n.b^m = b^n \quad \text{exactly when} \quad m = n.

So if both sides can be written as powers of the same base, set the exponents equal. The condition b≠1b \ne 1 matters, since 1m=1n1^m = 1^n for every mm and nn.

In plain words Rewrite both sides with the same base. Then the exponents must match, and you are left with an ordinary equation.

Example Solve 2x+1=162^{x + 1} = 16. Since 16=2416 = 2^4, the equation is 2x+1=242^{x + 1} = 2^4, so x+1=4x + 1 = 4 and x=3x = 3. The same idea recovers a missing time. A 30003000 milligram sample has a half-life of 55 hours, so the amount after tt hours is 3000⋅(12)t/53000 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{t/5}. To find when 375375 milligrams remain, divide by 30003000.

(12)t/5=3753000=18=(12)3.\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{t/5} = \frac{375}{3000} = \frac{1}{8} = \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3.

So t5=3\frac{t}{5} = 3 and t=15t = 15 hours. In the Desmos graphing calculator you could also graph y=3000(1/2)^(x/5) and y=375 and click their intersection point, which is at (15,375)(15, 375).

Check yourself

  1. The value of a car tt years after purchase is V(t)=24,000⋅(0.88)tV(t) = 24{,}000 \cdot (0.88)^t dollars. Which statement best describes the number 0.880.88? (A) The value decreases by 88%88\% each year. (B) The value decreases by 12%12\% each year. (C) The value decreases by 0.880.88 dollars each year. (D) The value decreases by 12%12\% over the whole period.
Show the answer

The correct choice is (B). Each year the value is multiplied by 0.88=1−0.120.88 = 1 - 0.12, so it keeps 88%88\% and loses 12%12\% of the previous year’s value. Choice (A) confuses the part kept with the part lost. Choice (C) describes a linear model, and (D) ignores that the factor applies once per year.

  1. What value of xx satisfies 52x−1=1255^{2x - 1} = 125?
Show the answer

The answer is 22. Since 125=53125 = 5^3, the equation becomes 52x−1=535^{2x - 1} = 5^3. The base 55 is positive and not 11, so 2x−1=32x - 1 = 3 and x=2x = 2. Check that 53=1255^3 = 125.

  1. A population is modeled by P(t)=2000⋅(1.44)tP(t) = 2000 \cdot (1.44)^t, where tt is the number of years. By what percent does the population increase every half year? (A) 12%12\%, (B) 20%20\%, (C) 22%22\%, (D) 44%44\%
Show the answer

The correct choice is (B). With hh half years, t=h2t = \frac{h}{2}, so

P=2000⋅(1.44)h/2=2000⋅(1.2)h.\begin{aligned} P &= 2000 \cdot (1.44)^{h/2} \\[0.4em] &= 2000 \cdot (1.2)^h. \end{aligned}

The factor per half year is 1.44=1.2\sqrt{1.44} = 1.2, a 20%20\% increase. Choice (C) halves the yearly 44%44\%, which ignores compounding, since 1.222=1.48841.22^2 = 1.4884. Choice (D) is the yearly rate, and (A) misreads 1.21.2 as 12%12\%.

How this lesson connects